Quantitative easing (2024)

What is quantitative easing?

Quantitative easing is a tool central banks can use to meet an inflation target.

We are the UK’s central bank and our job is to get the rate of inflationto our 2% target.

We do that by changing interest rates to influence what happens in the economy. We use two main tools to do this. The primary tool we use is Bank Rate. This is the interest rate we pay on deposits placed with us overnight by eligible firms such as commercial banks.

Additionally, we can buy bonds to bring down longer-term interest rates on savings and loans. This is sometimes called quantitative easing (QE). It is the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) that decides on Bank Rate and QE.

When we need to reduce the rate of inflation, we raise interest rates. Higher interest rates mean borrowing costs more and saving gets a higher return. That leads to less spending in the economy, which brings down the rate of inflation.

When we need to support the economy by boosting spending, we lower interest rates. That also causes inflation to go up.

QE is one of two tools we can use to lower interest rates, particularly when Bank Rate is very low and there is limited scope to lower it further.

We first began using QE in March 2009 in response to the Global Financial Crisis. At that time Bank Rate was already very low. In fact, it couldn’t be lowered any further at that point. So we needed another way to lower interest rates, encourage spending in the economy, and meet our inflation target.

QE involves us buying bonds to push up their prices and bring down long-term interest rates. In turn, that increases how much people spend overall which puts upward pressure on the prices of goods and services.

In total, we bought £895 billion worth of bonds. Most of those (£875 billion) were UK government bonds. The remaining £20 billion were UK corporate bonds.

The last time we announced an increase in the amount of QE was in November 2020.

At the moment, inflation is above the 2% target, so we have raised interest rates to bring it back down again.

We have also been reducing the stock of bonds we bought during QE – a process sometimes called ‘quantitative tightening’ (QT). The MPC decided to begin doing that in February 2022.

We can use our bank reserves to buy bonds

The money we used to buy bonds when we were doing QE did not come from government taxation or borrowing. Instead, like other central banks, we can create money digitally in the form of ‘central bank reserves’.

We use these reserves to buy bonds. Bonds are essentially IOUs issued by the government and businesses as a means of borrowing money.

Now that we are reversing QE, some of those bonds will mature and we are selling others to investors. When that happens, the money we created to buy the bonds disappears and the overall amount of money in the economy will go down.

We’re not alone in using QE. Central banks in many other countries, including the United States, the euro area and Japan have used it too.

Buying bonds helps to keep interest rates low

When we buy bonds, it pushes down on long-term interest rates on savings and loans. Doing that stimulates spending in the economy.

Here’s how it works. We buy UK government bonds or corporate bonds from investors, such as asset managers. Bonds are IOUs that pay an amount of interest that is fixed in cash terms - £5 per year, for example. This fixed interest payment is called the bond’s ‘coupon’.

When we buy bonds, their price tends to increase compared with the coupon. If the price of a bond goes up, compared with its coupon, the rate of return on the bond, or ‘yield’, goes down.

Suppose a bond was worth £100 and its coupon was £5 per year. The interest rate or yield of that bond is 5 as a percentage of 100, which is 5%. If the price of the bond increases from £100 to £120, then the £5 coupon payment now represents a yield of 5 as a percentage of 120, which is 4.2%.

Yields on government bonds act as a benchmark interest rate for all sorts of other financial products.

So, for example, lower government bond yields feed through to lower interest rates on household mortgages.

In turn, those lower interest rates lead to higher spending in the economy and put upward pressure on the prices of goods and services, helping us raise the rate of inflation if it is too low.

Buying bonds supports the prices of other financial assets

QE increases the price of financial assets other than bonds, such as equities.

Here’s an example. Say we buy £1 million of government bonds from an asset manager. In place of those bonds, the asset manager now has £1 million in cash.

Rather than hold on to that cash, it might invest it in other financial assets, such as equities.

In turn that tends to push up on the value of equities, making households and businesses and other financial institutions that own equities wealthier. That makes them likely to spend more, boosting economic activity.

Higher prices for corporate bonds and equities also lowers the cost of funding for companies and this ought to increase investment in the economy.

QE has supported our aim of having low and stable inflation

Research on the functioning and effectiveness of QEsuggests that it has supported our aim to keep inflation in low and stable.

The evidence also shows the impact of QE has varied significantly between the different times (we call them ‘rounds’) we used it. The largest impact on the economy was probably after the first round (2009). It also had large effects after the UK’s referendum on membership of the EU in 2016, and at the start of the Covid pandemic in spring 2020.

These were all times when markets were stressed, and QE was particularly effective in helping to lower long-term borrowing costs.

Has QE increased inequality in the UK?

One of the consequences of QE is it increases the value of assets such as equities. That increases the wealth of the people who own them. This is one of the ways in which QE helps stimulate the economy.

Our research on the distributional effect of QE shows that older people, who tend to own more financial assets than younger people, gained the most from increased wealth.

But that’s only part of the story. QE also leads to more spending, which creates jobs and increases wages. As a result, those of employment age benefited from higher earnings. It was younger people who benefited the most from the support to employment and incomes.

When we look at the combined effect of these income and wealth effects, we find that the overwhelming majority of people benefited from QE and that it did not lead to greater inequality.

A bond is like a future ‘IOU’ issued by governments and companies that can be bought and sold in the financial markets. UK government bonds also known as ‘gilts’ and are a form of government debt.

Quantitative easing (2024)

FAQs

How effective is quantitative easing? ›

Quantitative easing involves a country's central bank purchasing longer-term government bonds, as well as other types of assets, such as mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Economists tend to agree that QE works, but caution that too much of it can be a bad thing.

Why did QE not lead to inflation? ›

The Fed's version of QE was to follow my recommendation to purchase non-performing assets from banks – in other words, it purchased their bad debts, thus cleaning up their balance sheets. This did not inject any new money into the US economy and so did not create inflationary pressures.

What was the taper tantrum? ›

The Fed announced that it would be reducing the pace of its purchases of Treasury bonds, to reduce the amount of money it was feeding into the economy. The ensuing rise in bond yields in reaction to the announcement was referred to as a taper tantrum in financial media.

How many rounds of quantitative easing have there been since 2008? ›

The Fed has implemented quantitative easing programs four times since the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The most recent quantitative easing program was undertaken in 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent recession.

Why is QE risky? ›

Risks and side-effects. Quantitative easing may cause higher inflation than desired if the amount of easing required is overestimated and too much money is created by the purchase of liquid assets. On the other hand, QE can fail to spur demand if banks remain reluctant to lend money to businesses and households.

How much losses from quantitative easing? ›

Based on the market path for interest rates as of late March, the QE programme looks set to generate a net loss of 85 billion pounds by 2034, compared with an estimate in February of 80 billion pounds.

Was QE a mistake? ›

There's no convincing evidence that central banks' purchases of trillions of dollars of bonds and other financial assets helped any economy. The great quantitative easing experiment was a mistake.

What is really causing inflation? ›

Inflation may occur due to increases in production costs associated with raw materials or labor. Higher demand can also lead to inflation. Certain fiscal and monetary policies such as tax cuts or lower interest rates are also potential drivers.

Where does the Fed get money for quantitative easing? ›

Fed buys assets.

The Fed can make money appear out of thin air—so-called money printing—by creating bank reserves on its balance sheet. With QE, the central bank uses new bank reserves to purchase long-term Treasuries in the open market from major financial institutions (primary dealers).

Where does the Fed get its money? ›

The Federal Reserve is not funded by congressional appropriations. Its operations are financed primarily from the interest earned on the securities it owns—securities acquired in the course of the Federal Reserve's open market operations.

What investments became more attractive as a result of the qe program? ›

By design, the Fed's QE program effectively lowered long-term interest rates, making safer investments like bonds less attractive and riskier assets like stocks more attractive.

Does the Fed buy bonds in a recession? ›

As mentioned earlier, during a recession the Fed usually buys short-term government bonds, which has the effect of driving down short-term interest rates. The Fed usually targets a certain level of the “federal funds rate,” the interest rate that banks charge each other on very short-term (overnight) loans.

Has the Fed ever done quantitative tightening? ›

Fed officials have been debating how to wind down the policy. On Wednesday afternoon, the Federal Reserve announced an important change in its strategy for reducing the bonds it holds on its balance sheet—a process known as quantitative tightening.

Why did QE not cause inflation? ›

It is true the monetary base spiked during these initial rounds of QE, but the second reason QE didn't lead to hyperinflation is we live under a fractional reserve banking system whereby the money supply is more than just the amount of physical coins, paper money, and bank deposits in the system.

How much money do banks need to hold in reserve? ›

The Federal Reserve requires banks and other depository institutions to hold a minimum level of reserves against their liabilities. Currently, the marginal reserve requirement equals 10 percent of a bank's demand and checking deposits.

What are the negatives of quantitative easing? ›

The increase in the money supply too quickly will cause inflation. The flood of cash in the market may encourage reckless financial behavior and increase prices.

Is quantitative easing still being used? ›

The Federal Reserve stopped expanding its balance sheet through QE in early 2022 as the economy continued to expand following the 2020 recession and began reducing the size of its balance sheet through QT in the middle of 2022.

Does quantitative easing make the rich richer? ›

These findings suggest evidence broadly supports the claim that QE has disproportionately benefited the wealthy and exacerbated wealth inequalities. However, it may only be a small net impact as there are effects in both directions.

Does quantitative easing cause appreciation? ›

The QE Effect

Many of these investors weight their portfolios towards stocks, pushing up stock market prices. Falling interest rates also influence the decisions made by public companies. Lower rates mean lower borrowing costs. Companies have an incentive to expand their businesses and often borrow money to do so.

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