The $31.4 trillion debt dilemma (2024)

The $31.4 trillion debt dilemma (1) The $31.4 trillion debt dilemma (2) The $31.4 trillion debt dilemma (3) The $31.4 trillion debt dilemma (4)

Think about the US debt like snow forming.

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In 1922, the debt was $408 billion, or about the size of this smallsnowball.

By 1998, that number passed $10 trillion, meaning the snowball grew more than20times.

At the end of 2022, the US debt had exploded to over $30 trillion —enough snow to take up most of yourscreen.

How the US government spends more money than it collects

By Tami Luhby, CNN

Published March 8, 2023

(CNN) — The US is $31.4 trillion in debt. This staggering amount is in the spotlight because the federal government has hit its borrowing cap and will not be able to pay all its bills within a few months if Congress doesn’t act. A default would have catastrophic consequences on the nation’s economy, global finances and many Americans.

The debt stems from the federal government spending more than it collects in revenue, which results in an annual deficit. The debt is an accumulation of those deficits. In the last 50 years, the government has only run a surplus five times, most recently in fiscal year 2001, according to the Treasury Department.

The nation’s fiscal imbalance is nothing new. In fact, the US has been in debt since its inception, according to the Treasury Department. Wars, economic downturns and the Covid-19 pandemic have caused the debt to balloon over the centuries.

President Joe Biden and House Republicans are locked in a battle over whether to pair addressing the debt ceiling with cutting spending. Biden has said his budget proposal, which he is expected to unveil on Thursday, will seek to reduce the deficit by $2 trillion over 10 years.

A century of growing debt

The US federal debt in inflation-adjusted dollars has increased from $408 billion in fiscal year 1922 to more than $30 trillion today.

Source: US Treasury Department

Credit: Curt Merrill and Matt Stiles, CNN

The federal government spent $6.27 trillion in fiscal year 2022, which ended last September, according to the Treasury Department.

Nearly two-thirds of annual federal spending is what’s known as mandatory spending, which means existing laws require the funds to be allocated. Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, veterans benefits and retirement programs for federal civilian and military retirees all fall into this category. Congress does not specify funding levels for these programs annually.

Lawmakers, however, do have control over so-called discretionary spending, which they vote on annually. More than half of this funding goes toward national defense, while the rest supports a wide variety of federal agencies and programs, including education, transportation, housing, environmental protection and federal law enforcement.

And then there’s interest owed on the debt, which has grown rapidly over the past year amid repeated rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. Interest costs are expected to balloon further in coming years, exceeding federal spending on Medicaid and defense within a decade, according to the Peter G. Peterson Foundation.

What the US government spends money on

The government spent $6.27 trillion in fiscal year 2022. Each square below represents roughly $1 billion.

Social Security

$1.22 trillion (19%)

Provides monthly retirement benefits averaging $1,828 in 2023 to nearly 49 million retired workers, as well as benefits to nearly 3 million spouses and children of retired workers, nearly 6 million surviving children and spouses of deceased workers and nearly 9 million disabled workers and their eligible dependents.

= $1 billion

Health

$914 billion (15%)

Includes Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program that serve more than 91 million Americans, Affordable Care Act tax credits, the National Institutes of Health and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, among other programs.

= $1 billion

Income security

$865 billion (14%)

Includes unemployment benefits, food stamps, the refundable portion of the earned income and child tax credits, Supplemental Security Income, rental assistance and military and federal civilian employee pensions, among other programs.

= $1 billion

National defense

$767 billion (12%)

Consists mainly of funding for the Defense Department, including operations and maintenance, military personnel, procurement of weapons and research.

= $1 billion

Medicare

$755 billion (12%)

Provides health insurance for more than 65 million people who are age 65 or older or who have disabilities.

= $1 billion

Education, training, employment and social services

$677 billion (11%)

Includes the federal student loan program, Pell grants, federal support for disadvantaged K-12 school districts and special education, Head Start and dislocated worker employment and training initiatives, among other programs.

= $1 billion

Net interest

$475 billion (8%)

Covers interest payments on the money the federal government borrowed to finance past deficits. The federal debt held by the public hit $24.3 trillion at the end of fiscal year 2022.

= $1 billion

Other

$600 billion (10%)

Covers veterans benefits and services, transportation, general government services, the Internal Revenue Service and federal law enforcement, corrections and the judiciary, among other things.

= $1 billion

Note: Percentages do not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Sources: US Treasury Department, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

The federal government collected $4.9 trillion in revenue in fiscal year 2022, about $1.38 trillion less than what it spent, according to the Treasury Department. The shortfall is the budget deficit for that year and adds to the total national debt.

The largest chunk of revenue, by far, comes from individual income taxes -- which amounted to more than half of the money collected in the last fiscal year. The next biggest slice comes from Social Security and Medicare payroll taxes of 12.4% and 2.9%, respectively. (These levies are split between employer and employee.)

But the government also raises money in other ways, including charging admission to national parks, levying customs duties on foreign imports and exports and imposing excise taxes on items such as alcohol, tobacco and gasoline.

Where the money comes from

US government revenue, by category, in fiscal year 2022

Source: US Treasury Department

Credit: Curt Merrill, Byron Manley and Matt Stiles, CNN

The $31.4 trillion debt dilemma (2024)

FAQs

Can the United States ever pay off its debt? ›

Reducing the debt will require Congress to make politically difficult decisions to either curb spending, raise taxes, or both. Other experts say the United States can safely afford to continue borrowing at present levels because it pays relatively little interest due to its unique position in the global economy.

Who does the US owe $31 trillion dollars to? ›

The public owes 74 percent of the current federal debt. Intragovernmental debt accounts for 26 percent or $5.9 trillion. The public includes foreign investors and foreign governments. These two groups account for 30 percent of the debt.

How much money does the US owe China? ›

How did USA owe China so much money? The U.S. debt to China is approximately $1.059 trillion. That's 27.8 percent of the $3.8 trillion in treasury bills, notes, and bonds held by foreign countries. The rest of the $19.9 trillion national debt is owned by either the American people or by the U.S. government itself.

Who holds the $30 trillion U.S. debt? ›

In December 2021, debt held by the public was estimated at 96.19% of GDP, and approximately 33% of this public debt was owned by foreigners (government and private). The United States has the largest external debt in the world.

Is the U.S. debt actually a problem? ›

Extraordinarily low interest rates allow the U.S. to shoulder a heavier debt burden, but the debt is on an unsustainable course and its size may limit the government's ability or willingness to continue to fight the economic ill effects of the pandemic or future economic downturns.

Who does the US owe all its debt to? ›

Many people believe that much of the U.S. national debt is owed to foreign countries like China and Japan, but the truth is that most of it is owed to Social Security and pension funds right here in the U.S. This means that U.S. citizens own most of the national debt.

Why is the US in so much debt? ›

One of the main culprits is consistently overspending. When the federal government spends more than its budget, it creates a deficit. In the fiscal year of 2023, it spent about $381 billion more than it collected in revenues. To pay that deficit, the government borrows money.

What country owes America the most money? ›

All values are adjusted to 2023 dollars. As of January 2023, the five countries owning the most US debt are Japan ($1.1 trillion), China ($859 billion), the United Kingdom ($668 billion), Belgium ($331 billion), and Luxembourg ($318 billion).

Which country has no debt? ›

1) Switzerland

Switzerland is a country that, in practically all economic and social metrics, is an example to follow. With a population of almost 9 million people, Switzerland has no natural resources of its own, no access to the sea, and virtually no public debt.

What happens if China calls in US debt? ›

An excess supply of U.S. dollars would lead to a decline in USD rates, making RMB valuations higher. It would increase the cost of Chinese products, making them lose their competitive price advantage. China may not be willing to do that, as it makes little economic sense.

How much land does China own in the US? ›

China owns 384,000 acres of American agricultural land. That's a 30% increase just since 2019. And on top of that, they own land near an air force base in North Dakota.

Why is China dumping US treasuries? ›

China has offloaded USD 22.7 billion US treasury bills recently over concerns over security and a further delay to expected interest rate cuts by the American Federal Reserve, amidst its intensified strategic rivalry with Washington.

Which person has the most debt on earth? ›

Jerome Kerviel, The Most Indebted Person In The World, Owes $6.3 Billion To Former Employer, Societe Generale. In a hyper-competitive world where everyone strives to be the biggest, boldest and most famous, no one covets Jerome Kerviel record-breaking achievement.

Will the US ever get out of debt? ›

Why History Shows the United States Will Not Grow Out of Its Debt. The United States is approaching record levels of debt. Debt held by the public totaled 97 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) at the end of 2022 and is on track to exceed its previous all-time high, which occurred just after World II, by 2029.

Does Russia own US debt? ›

According to the US Treasury, Russian ownership of US Treasuries was $2.1 Billion in Nov 2022.

Is it possible for the US to be debt free? ›

Eliminating the U.S. government's debt is a Herculean task that could take decades. In addition to obvious steps, such as hiking taxes and slashing spending, the government could take a number of other approaches, some of them unorthodox and even controversial.

When was the last time the United States paid off its national debt? ›

On January 8, 1835, president Andrew Jackson paid off the entire national debt, the only time in U.S. history that has been accomplished.

What happens if US national debt gets too high? ›

A nation saddled with debt will have less to invest in its own future. Rising debt means fewer economic opportunities for Americans. Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth. It also increases expectations of higher rates of inflation and erosion of confidence in the U.S. dollar.

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