The main consequences of our growing National Debt (2024)

The national debt is currently at $23.2trillionand counting. This is the equivalent of $70,403in debt per person living in the U.S. or the equivalent of Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos' net worth of $115billion multiplied by 200.

Hard to believe, right? So, what are the main consequences of the National Debt?

  • Decreased savings and income

  • Higher interest costs

  • Lack of flexibility

  • Risks of a new crisis

The sheer magnitude of the federal debt is hard to wrap one's mind around, and federal revenues aren't keeping up with federal borrowing. The current federal debt represents 621 percent of annual federal revenues. The ratio of the federal debt to the GDP will be around 113% in 2020 according to Trading Economics econometric models.This ratio hasn't exceeded 70 percent since World War II, a sign that federal spending has spiraled out of control.

Main consequences of National Debt

There are some extremely concerning consequences to the current level of federal debt.

Decreased savings and income

The government borrowing money means that more treasury securities are issued and compete against securities issued by the private sector. The government's need to borrow will eventually exceed the savings available, and even though more households and businesses are purchasing treasury securities, national savings will reach a low point in comparison to the size of the federal debt.
Treasury securities with high-interest rates will make saving more appealing than investing for businesses. The private sector will stop seeking investments that can generate growth due to the incentive to save. This includes the lower amount of capital available once individuals stop investing in securities offered by businesses due to treasury securities being more attractive.

This lack of investment will result in low productivity and create an environment where work produces little value and wages decrease.

Higher interest costs

Interest rates are still low, so this consequence isn't felt yet. However, the current rate of federal borrowing will eventually lead to higher interest costs. The federal funds rate will have to be increased in the near future to make up for inflation. This means that the federal deficit will grow exponentially, and reducing it will become increasingly difficult.

The only way to lower the deficit will be to implement high tax rates and reduce federal spending. This situation will result in a lower disposable income for Americans, whether high tax rates reduce their paycheck and incentive to work, or whether a future administration cuts expenses by reducing Social Security benefits.

Lack of flexibility

A small federal deficit gives an administration plenty of room to borrow at low rates in the short-term. This is a strategy that an administration might have to use in case of a recession, natural disaster, or war.
This flexibility is reduced as the federal debt increases. We are in a situation where it would be difficult for the current administration to secure additional funding at a low rate in the short-term. This considerably limits the government's ability to prepare and respond to an event.

During the 2008 Recession, the debt-to-GDP ratio was under 40 percent. The government was able to secure additional funding to make up for reduced tax revenues and increase spending. This type of response would be more difficult to implement with the current debt-to-GDP ratio.

Risks of a new crisis

The main consequences of our growing National Debt (3)

The current borrowing rate will eventually create a situation where it will become increasingly difficult for the administration to secure more funds. Interest rates will go up, which means the pace at which the federal is growing will accelerate.

This is a cycle that can't be sustained, which means a major economic correction will have to happen. Possible scenarios include the U.S. debt being discounted, other countries no longer buying the U.S. debt, or the stock market performing poorly due to a loss of confidence in federal fiscal policies. The crisis could also take the form of a high inflation rate or devalued dollar.

It is unclear where the tipping point is since the current rate of government borrowing hasn't been matched in recent history. Balancing the budget doesn't seem to be a priority for the current administration, but you can make a difference by drawing attention to this issue and advocating for new spending policies.

Check out our charts and learnmore about our fiscal challenges in our blog“7 U.S. National Debt Charts that Explain our Fiscal Challenges: Debt by Year and More“

Take Action!

Visit ItsUpToUs.org to find out how you can increase awareness for the growing federal debt and other issues that will affect our future. You can also stay civically engaged by checking out this cool book list. What are you waiting for? There are many ways to stay civically engaged.

The main consequences of our growing National Debt (2024)

FAQs

The main consequences of our growing National Debt? ›

Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth. It also increases expectations of higher rates of inflation and erosion of confidence in the U.S. dollar. The federal government should not allow budget imbalances to harm the economy and families across the country.

What are the consequences of the national debt? ›

The U.S. national debt has soared to historic levels relative to the size of the U.S. economy. Many economists say that a rapidly mounting debt load could soon diminish U.S. economic growth, restrict government spending on important programs, and raise the likelihood of financial crises.

What problems does an increasing national debt cause? ›

Decreased savings and income

The private sector will stop seeking investments that can generate growth due to the incentive to save. This includes the lower amount of capital available once individuals stop investing in securities offered by businesses due to treasury securities being more attractive.

What are the consequences of high debts? ›

Financial stability

At high debt levels, governments have less capacity to provide support for ailing banks, and if they do, sovereign borrowing costs may rise further. At the same time, the more banks hold of their countries' sovereign debt, the more exposed their balance sheet is to the sovereign's fiscal fragility.

What are the consequences of debt 3 reasons? ›

Carrying long-term debt can create a buildup of additional costs over time, creating significant long-term effects to consider.
  • Interest Costs. Interest is the price you pay to borrow money. ...
  • Fees and Other Charges. ...
  • Inability to Qualify for New Credit. ...
  • Collection Costs. ...
  • Mental Health Impacts. ...
  • Physical Health Impacts.
Feb 4, 2023

What would happen if we had no national debt? ›

Zero/low national debt could impact you, the individual, because government spending may be cut or you may have to pay higher taxes. Without national debt, there'd be no US Treasury Bonds — debts backed by the “full faith and credit” of the US government — because the government borrows money by selling those bonds.

What are five ways the national debt can affect the economy? ›

The Fiscal & Economic Impact
  • Reduced Public Investment. ...
  • Reduced Private Investment. ...
  • Fewer Economic Opportunities for Americans. ...
  • Greater Risk of a Fiscal Crisis. ...
  • Challenges to National Security. ...
  • Imperiling the Safety Net.

Why is an increase in national debt damaging for its economy? ›

The national debt can be a significant burden on a country's economy. When a country borrows money, it has to pay interest on the loan. This interest can add up over time, and it can make it difficult for the country to repay its debt. The national debt can also affect a country's credit rating.

What are the 3 major factors causing the national debt to grow? ›

Tax cuts, stimulus programs, increased government spending, and decreased tax revenue caused by widespread unemployment generally account for sharp rises in the national debt. Comparing a country's debt to its gross domestic product (GDP) reveals the country's ability to pay down its debt.

Why is US national debt so high? ›

Much of the rise in the national debt is attributable to an aging population, said Rouse, with 18% of the population over 65 today, up from 12% in 1983. As the baby boom generation has entered retirement, the amount the government spends on services like Social Security and Medicaid has risen.

What are the negative impacts of debt? ›

People with debt are more likely to face common mental health issues, such as prolonged stress, depression, and anxiety. Debt can affect your physical well-being, too. This is especially true if the stigma of debt is keeping you from asking for help.

What is the risk of government debt? ›

The Congressional Budget Office warned in its latest projections that US federal government debt is on a path from 97% of GDP last year to 116% by 2034 — higher even than in World War II. The actual outlook is likely worse.

Which consequence can happen when a nation has a large federal debt? ›

Answer. A large federal debt may prevent the government from fully funding its programs due to fiscal constraints and higher budget allocations for debt servicing. It can also lead to 'crowding out' of private investment and necessitate higher interest rates to attract investors.

What is the true cause of our national debt? ›

Nearly every year, the government spends more than it collects in taxes and other revenue, resulting in a deficit. (The debt ceiling, set by Congress, caps how much the U.S. can borrow to pay for its remaining bills.) The national debt, now at a historic high, is the buildup of its deficits over time.

What are the consequences of increasing the debt ceiling? ›

Increasing the debt ceiling has an inverse effect on the country's reputation in the global markets. As such, it may lead to a downgrade of the credit rating of the U.S. while increasing the overall cost of its debt.

What are the consequences of the US being in such extreme debt? ›

Potential repercussions of reaching the ceiling include a downgrade by credit rating agencies, increased borrowing costs for businesses and homeowners alike, and a dropoff in consumer confidence that could shock the United States' financial market and tip its economy—and the world's—into immediate recession.

What is a common consequence of a country taking on too much national debt? ›

Interest Payments Creating Pressure on Other Spending

As interest rates return to more typical levels from historically low levels and the debt grows, federal interest payments will increase rapidly. As interest takes up more of the budget, we will have less available to spend on programs.

Who do we owe the national debt to? ›

Many people believe that much of the U.S. national debt is owed to foreign countries like China and Japan, but the truth is that most of it is owed to Social Security and pension funds right here in the U.S. This means that U.S. citizens own most of the national debt.

What were the effects of the debt crisis? ›

What Are the Effects of a Debt Crisis? A debt crisis can lead to steep losses for banks, both domestic and international, potentially undermining the stability of financial systems in both the crisis-hit country and others. This can affect economic growth and create turmoil in global financial markets.

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