United States 10 Years Bond - Forecast (2024)

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United States 10 Years Bond - Forecast (1)

World Government Bonds

Updated Government Bonds data and yield curves

The United States 10 Years Government Bond Yield is expected to be 4.836% by the end of September 2024.

It would mean an increase of 22.5 bp, if compared to last quotation (4.611%, last update 29 Apr 2024 23:15 GMT+0).

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Yield

Forecast and difference vs last yield

29 Apr 2024 Sep 2024 Dec 2024 Mar 2025 Jun 2025
4.611%
10 Years
4.836%
+22.5 bp
4.948%
+33.7 bp
5.263%
+65.2 bp
5.215%
+60.4 bp

The expected yield, by December 2024, is 4.948% (+33.7 bp vs last quotation)

A farther forecast of the yield, for June 2025, is 5.215% (+60.4 bp vs last quotation)

Forecasts are calculated with a trend following algorithm. They are not supposed to be an advice or an encouragement to invest.

Back to United States 10 Years Bond - Historical Data

Back to United States Government Bonds - Yields Curve

United States 10 Years Bond - Forecast (2024)

FAQs

United States 10 Years Bond - Forecast? ›

The US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.63 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.43 in 12 months time.

What is the 10 year Treasury yield forecast for 2025? ›

Subgroup indices
IndexCurrent valueDate
US 10-Year Bond Yield Forecast Q1 20253.9 %30/04/2024
US 10-Year Bond Yield Forecast Q1 20262.95 %30/04/2024
US 10-Year Bond Yield Forecast Q2 20244.35 %30/04/2024
US 10-Year Bond Yield Forecast Q2 20253.95 %30/04/2024
4 more rows

What is the 10 year return on bonds? ›

10 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.58%, compared to 4.63% the previous market day and 3.38% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 4.25%.

What happens when 10 year bond goes down? ›

The 10-year note is undoubtedly a highly significant benchmark for global financial markets. A rising yield indicates investor confidence in the economy but also suggests higher borrowing costs, potentially slowing economic growth. Conversely, a falling yield may signal economic uncertainty.

What is the 10 year bond forecast? ›

The US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.63 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.43 in 12 months time.

What is the 10 year Treasury future? ›

US 10-year treasury note is a debt obligation assigned by the U.S. treasury for a period of ten years. Treasury Bond futures are considered to be fundamental risk management tools by traders and investors throughout the worldwide markets, especially due to their fixed-income securities.

What is the 10 year rule for bonds? ›

If you withdraw in the 10th year, one-third of your bond income is taxable, with a 30% tax credit applicable. Any withdrawals after 10 years offer the most significant tax benefit, as all income from the bond is tax-free.

Should you sell bonds when interest rates rise? ›

If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value. The change in bond values only relates to a bond's price on the open market, meaning if the bond is sold before maturity, the seller will obtain a higher or lower price for the bond compared to its face value, depending on current interest rates.

Are T bills better than CDs? ›

T-bills have a key advantage over CDs: They're exempt from state income taxes. The same is true with Treasury notes and Treasury bonds. If you live in a state with income taxes, and rates are similar for CDs and T-bills, then it makes sense to go with a T-bill.

How much is a $100 savings bond worth after 20 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount20-Year Value (Purchased May 2000)
$50 Bond$100$109.52
$100 Bond$200$219.04
$500 Bond$400$547.60
$1,000 Bond$800$1,095.20

What will the next I bond rate be in 2024? ›

The May I Bond composite rate is 4.28% (US Treasury) which is 2.14% earned over 6 months. Breaking News: Official Treasury I Bond Rate announced! The May 2024 I Bond Fixed Rate is 1.30%.

What happens when you buy a 10-year Treasury bond? ›

A 10-year Treasury is a bond that guarantees interest plus repayment of the borrowed money in a decade. The 10-year Treasury is just one of a handful of securities issued by the U.S. government.

Will bonds recover in 2024? ›

As for fixed income, we expect a strong bounce-back year to play out over the course of 2024. When bond yields are high, the income earned is often enough to offset most price fluctuations. In fact, for the 10-year Treasury to deliver a negative return in 2024, the yield would have to rise to 5.3 percent.

Can you lose money on bonds if held to maturity? ›

After bonds are initially issued, their worth will fluctuate like a stock's would. If you're holding the bond to maturity, the fluctuations won't matter—your interest payments and face value won't change.

What is the average return on a 10 year bond? ›

The current 10 year treasury yield as of April 30, 2024 is 4.69%.

What are Treasury yields for 5 years? ›

5 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.68%, compared to 4.70% the previous market day and 3.60% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 3.75%. The 5 Year Treasury Rate is the yield received for investing in a US government issued treasury security that has a maturity of 5 years.

How does the 10 year Treasury yield change? ›

The U.S Treasury sells bonds via auction and yields are set through a bidding process. 2 Prices for the 10-year bond drop when confidence is high, which causes yields to rise. This is because investors feel they can find higher-returning investments elsewhere and do not feel they need to play it safe.

What is the 30 10 year Treasury yield spread? ›

30-10 Year Treasury Yield Spread (I:3010YTYS)

30-10 Year Treasury Yield Spread is at 0.11%, compared to 0.10% the previous market day and 0.28% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.49%.

What is the 10 year 3 month Treasury yield spread? ›

10 Year-3 Month Treasury Yield Spread is at -0.79%, compared to -0.77% the previous market day and -1.65% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 1.14%.

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