Why return to fixed income, now? (2024)

Brian Erickson, Fixed Income Strategist – Ameriprise Financial
Why return to fixed income, now? (1)

Feb. 19, 2024

The Federal Reserve may begin cutting its rate policy in the next few months, presenting a unique opening for investors who want to lock in the elevated returns they are currently receiving from cash investments.

Here’s what you need to know about this window of opportunity:

Why fixed income may be the long-term play

If Fed rate cuts do transpire, they will likely quickly lower attractive yields on cash investments, such as money market accounts. Consequently, investors may want to consider moving excess cash investments into longer-term, fixed income investments.

Why return to fixed income, now? (2)

Source: Bloomberg L.P.

Should your fixed-income portfolio have veered off course, whether through the excruciatingly low yields of 2021 or the bond market rout of 2022, it’s wise for investors to go back to the basics and consider rebuilding their fixed income portfolios, now, while bond yields remain elevated.

The window of opportunity may be closing

Fixed income may be an attractive opportunity as inflation continues to settle lower, compared to the past decade. The pendulum has swung from one extreme to another, from stunningly low yields in 2020 to robust inflation-adjusted yields today.

Fixed income markets will likely remain a few steps ahead of the Fed and cash investment rates. This suggests that as cash investment yields become less attractive, fixed income yields will already be lower and potentially less compelling than today.

Look for rate-sensitive fixed income

While interest rate sensitivity may have pinched fixed income investors in 2021 and 2022 as inflation soared, fixed income is poised to earn healthy total returns this year.

In general, prices rise as yields fall in fixed income. So, investing in higher-yielding fixed income today could capture yield with the potential for positive price performance should market yields continue to fall, tracking cash investment yields lower along with Fed rate cuts.

Also, investors looking for long-term income can also lock in today’s attractive yield until bonds in the portfolio mature, extending investment income generation through longer-term bond investments.

Bottom line: Cash investors should explore their options

Earning yield for a day is good, but earning today’s elevated yields for a longer time is better. Even if the yield on intermediate-term bonds is slightly lower than cash investment rates, fixed income’s longevity is a valuable feature.

Connect with your Ameriprise financial advisor to review your cash investments and bond allocation. They will help tune your portfolio, if needed, to today’s opportunity in fixed income in alignment with your long-term investment goals.

Why return to fixed income, now? (2024)

FAQs

Why is now a good time for fixed income? ›

It's a new era for fixed income. An unprecedented tightening cycle has given rise to unprecedented opportunities. While the last few years have been challenging, interest rate hikes were the controlled burn needed to rejuvenate the fixed income landscape.

Are fixed income investments good right now? ›

Given where we are now (i.e., post-Covid, falling inflation, higher rates, restoration of bonds' diversification benefits), we believe that the case for fixed-income is very strong. Although cash rates are currently attractive, investment-grade credit yields are currently offering outperformance.

Why do you want to do fixed income? ›

Active fixed income management not only offers the potential for enhanced returns but can also add value by aligning an investor's objectives with risks in several key areas — market structure, credit deterioration, dislocations, and dispersion — where index-tracking approaches may fall short.

What are the benefits of fixed income? ›

Fixed income investments are designed to generate a specific level of interest income, while also providing diversification, capital preservation, and potential tax exemptions.

Will bond funds recover in 2024? ›

As inflation finally seems to be coming under control, and growth is slowing as the global economy feels the full impact of higher interest rates, 2024 could be a compelling year for bonds.

Why fixed income is better than equity? ›

While equity markets have the potential of giving higher returns in the short run, the returns are not guaranteed and thus increases the risk. The fixed income markets, on the other hand, offer stable returns and thus lower risk, but the returns might also be modest.

Does fixed income do well in recession? ›

Interest rates tend to begin to decline three months ahead of recessions and reach a cycle low about five months into recessions. During economic downturns, fixed income has been shown to provide diversification benefits and reduce the volatility of portfolios that include risk assets such as equities.

What are the pros and cons of fixed income? ›

The pros and cons of fixed-income investing
ProsCons
Provide investors with stable, predictable returnsTypically generate lower potential returns than stocks
Experience much less volatility than stocksCome with interest-rate risk, as bond prices fall when market interest rates rise
1 more row
Apr 9, 2024

What is the safest fixed income? ›

Most experts consider Treasuries to be the safest fixed-income investments because they are backed by the government.

What is the best fixed income investment? ›

Municipal Bonds

The municipal market remains a favorite fixed-income choice for individual investors due to tax benefits and historically strong credit quality.

How do you survive on fixed income? ›

Reducing your cost of living can be one of the most strategic money moves when you're on a fixed income. This might look like staying in your area but moving to a home with a lower cost to maintain, like trading in the big house with high utility bills or property taxes for a more affordable, lower-maintenance home.

Should I work in fixed income or equity? ›

Equity markets offer higher expected returns than fixed-income markets, but they also carry higher risk. 1 Equity market investors are typically more interested in capital appreciation and pursue more aggressive strategies than fixed-income market investors.

What is the disadvantage of a fixed-income investment? ›

As the main disadvantage of this type of investment, we can mention that its profitability is the lowest in the financial market. While higher risk may lead to higher profit, many investors choose to go the secured path, even if it means less reward.

Is fixed income good during recession? ›

Interest rates tend to begin to decline three months ahead of recessions and reach a cycle low about five months into recessions. During economic downturns, fixed income has been shown to provide diversification benefits and reduce the volatility of portfolios that include risk assets such as equities.

Is now a good time to buy bond funds? ›

Answer: Now may be the perfect time to invest in bonds. Yields are at levels you could only dream of 15 years ago, so you'd be locking in substantial, regular income. And, of course, bonds act as a diversifier to your stock portfolio.

What is the outlook for fixed income? ›

Alpha Opportunities, Yield Becomes Destiny

Hence, our bond market outlook is still generally positive over the balance of 2024 as high yields boost the odds of favorable market returns (Yield is Destiny after all) and the potential for ample alpha generation remains favorable.

Is it a good time to fix interest rates? ›

Now is the perfect time to fix your mortgage to avoid paying higher home loan repayments over the next five years. Even the lowest variable rate offers on the market will be higher than usual due to the rising RBA cash rate hikes pushing current interest rates in Australia.

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